← Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 27.5% | 21 | 7-10-4 | 42.9% | 44.0% | 41.4% | -3.3 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 72.1% | +16.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.8% | 10 | 2-5-3 | 35.0% | 39.3% | 42.8% | -3.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 33.4% | -9.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 66.4% | +10.5 |
| Slimes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Suited | 1.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 39.9% | -7.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rile the Abyss | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |